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The Emotional Context of the EU Election 2019
If you want to begin by discussing the result of the EU Parliament Election 2019 in an emotional context there’s certainly no problem with that here (I’ll try to keep the euphoria out of my voice!) as the political map in the European Union has changed dramatically in less than one week, causing panic among pundits throughout the EU.
It seems that some people in Europe are frightened by democratic elections and may lose enthusiasm for democracy when the election results don’t go their way — but when the results go their way they’re among democracy’s strongest proponents!
It’s the funniest thing to see when politicians, pundits, commentators and even normal citizens gloat about ‘how great and strong our democracy is’ when election results go in their favour — yet at the very next election when the result goes the other way, they shriek about ‘how our democracy is broken’ and those other parties need to be outlawed! Hehehehe!
You either have the courage of your convictions or you don’t. Hissy fits are uncool.
The one thing that adults must admit and understand is, that in a democratic system sometimes you get what you want and sometimes you don’t. The peril of democracy.
“Life is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you’re going to get.” — Forrest Gump
Looking at the EU Parliamentary Election 2019 from a Practical Standpoint
Whether you’re pleased with the results of the EU election or not, one thing that must stand-out is that the EU runs a clean election. Not a word about election fraud, not one report of armed men taking over polling stations to prevent citizens from voting, and no candidate (to my knowledge) broke campaign laws.
A sincere ‘Well Done!’ to the European Union. That’s the way to do it.
On a related note, it’s another reason why EU election monitors are sought-after the world over particularly where elections are taking place in or near conflict zones, and in developing nations where democratic elections benefit from the assistance of a mature democracy to attain a clean (free from fraud) and safe election framework.
Even myself, as a Brexiteer (and notwithstanding that I hate the ‘black hole’ that is the EU budget, etc) admire the EU for being able to pull-off clean election after clean election, and it makes me happy to think that even after Brexit the European Union will continue to be the kind of neighbour any country would appreciate.
We all have neighbours we like and neighbours we don’t like, but in the post-Brexit world, the EU will remain a neighbour we like. May that ever be the case.
The Rise of Nigel Farage and The Brexit Party
In 1973, the UK joined the European Economic Community and a democratic referendum was held in the UK on June 5, 1975 that allowed Britons to approve/disapprove of that decision. British citizens voted to approve EEC membership by a comfortable margin. It must be noted that in joining the EEC the UK was not asked to give-up any amount of national sovereignty.
Subsequently, the UK was invited to join the European Union (the EU was a new entity as of January 1, 1993 and it replaced the old EC/EEC framework) and in 1998 the UK government did vote to join the then-recently formed EU. British citizens weren’t given an opportunity to vote on EU membership until 23-years later in June 2016, whereupon Britons voted to Leave the European Union. It’s important to note that in joining the EU, the UK did give-up some amount of sovereignty, and that under the UK constitutional framework that existed then (and now) it was (still is) something illegal that UK politicians approved.
At no time in all of this did the EU break any UK law. Rather, they merely asked the UK to join their union. Therefore, this is not an issue with the EU, this is an internal UK (House of Commons) matter.
In summary, the UK joined the EEC legally in 1973 and with the benefit of a UK-wide referendum in 1975 — but the UK joined the European Union illegally in 1998 and without the benefit of a UK-wide referendum to approve it until 2016.
It wasn’t until 23-years later that Britons were offered a chance to vote on the issue, and the first chance they got to vote on EU membership (June 23, 2016) they rejected it.
Illegally joining in 1998, and then forcing Britons to wait 23-years to voice their opinion on joining the EU, isn’t democratic enough in the 21st-century, no matter how much we love our EU neighbours!
All of this is what has led to the Brexit referendum, to the hiring of a ‘Brexit Prime Minister’ (Theresa May) and an election win by Theresa May (June 8, 2017) in an election where all major UK parties campaigned on a pro-Brexit platform.
Further, the rise of UKIP, and now The Brexit Party and their astonishing success in last week’s EU election from a party that’s only weeks old at this point, have resulted from errors made by a previous UK Parliament.
The Brexit Party won 29-seats — and that, without running any candidates in Northern Ireland, nor did The Brexit Party run candidates in every constituency in England, Wales, or Scotland. Amazing!
Had The Brexit Party run candidates in all constituencies, they might’ve captured as many as 60 of the 74 seats available to the UK in the EU Parliamentary Elections 2019.
The Future of Brexit
In the wake of EU Parliamentary elections, if UK Conservatives don’t now deliver a reasonable Brexit by October 31, 2019 they will lose the next election in the biggest political landslide in British history and may never form a government again.
The time for ‘talking about talking’ is over!
Likewise for Labour; If they’re seen to be obstructing Brexit, they’ll go down at the next election as never before. Other parties will simply take their place and both Conservatives and Labour will become unknown to a new generation of voters who demand responsive and accountable politicians in government. And that’s a fine thing.
Citizens Want Responsive and Accountable Politicians in the 21st-Century
At the next UK General Election the Brexit Party will run a full slate of candidates in the UK and win a majority government on a platform of delivering Brexit (and they will deliver Brexit!) while the Liberal Democrats will represent ‘Remainers’ and form the official opposition in the House of Commons. The Green Party is likely to make significant gains and take seats from the Liberal Democrats in the House of Commons.
British MP’s in 1998 pulled a fast one on Britons and then didn’t give British citizens a say on EU membership for 23-years — and having finally gotten a vote in EU membership they’re not about to give up their right to shape the country as they see fit.
Whether Brexiteers realize it or not, The Brexit Party exists merely to correct an historic mistake that hasn’t been corrected in all this time, and it will; Become the government; Fix the mistake once in power; And eventually merge with whatever is left of the Conservative Party in the post-Brexit era.
That is the way of things. And nothing can stop it short of an asteroid destroying the planet.
A wrong will be righted. And life will go on. Sans drama, one hopes!
In a recent poll, The Brexit Party is running at 34% sparking panic among UK politicians as support for the ruling Conservatives has fallen to 7%.
You will find more infographics at Statista
Click the image for updated information.
EXCERPT: “On Saturday, an Opinium survey for the Observer gauged voting intentions for the European elections in the UK. It revealed a surge for Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party which it placed on 34 percent, sparking panic among Tories and Labour. Support for the Conservatives has fallen to 11 percent, less than half of what the Brexit Party is polling. In the wake of the survey, senior Tory and Labour officials have issued desperate calls for voters to support them in the European elections. The poll suggests that the one-month-old Brexit party is set for a sweeping victory which Farage will use to reinforce his belief that the UK should leave the EU immediately without a deal.” — Niall McCarthy, Data Journalist, Statista
For more information about The Brexit Party, please see:
After lollygagging around for 1010-days, Theresa May has still failed to deliver any kind of Brexit for the British people who voted en masse to Leave the European Union on June 23, 2016, and not even an apology yet from the Prime Minister.
Almost 3-years since the referendum to Leave the EU; Not a word from 10 Downing St.
No Brexit, not even a BRINO (Brexit in Name Only) Brexit, no heartfelt ‘State of the Union’ speech to the public to explain why two Brexit dates had been missed, and no explanation for the billions lost due to the very extended period of economic and political uncertainty caused by Theresa May’s Brexit machinations.
Any British Prime Minister worth their salt would hang their head in shame for promising to deliver Brexit — or any major policy for over 1010-days — and then not deliver it at the last-minute (twice; once on March 29, 2019 and again on April 12, 2019) and do the honourable thing and resign.
Now that she’s missed two Brexit dates — not only should she address the nation on TV and take full responsibility for her failure to lead the country out of the European Union, she should also resign and leave politics, never to be heard from again.
Even that wouldn’t be good enough as she’s cost the UK and EU economies billions while she lollygagged, dithered, and even argued with herself for almost 3-years — which would be forgivable if she’d delivered a decent Brexit by April 12th — but as she didn’t (not even close!) she must leave politics.
Frankly, I’m surprised that there aren’t millions of yellow-vest Brexiteers demonstrating against the Conservative government, but maybe everyone is still in a state of shock over this betrayal of trust and the cost to the business community from the economic uncertainty caused by the protracted negotiating process.
Yet, if she were to leave now, she might receive some amount of forgiveness. But if she tries to stay-on and fight the next election even diehard Conservatives will vote for Labour just to get rid of her. It’s that bad, and from her ivory tower she just can’t or won’t see it.
You tried your best, Theresa, but you failed, and continuing to flog your Withdrawal Agreement / Political Declaration / Joint Instrument again and again, will only make them hate you the more. It’s over, Theresa.
One Bright Spot on the Horizon: The Brexit Party!
Nigel Farage, who was the founder of the UKIP Party, has now distanced himself from UKIP which, very unfortunately, attracted small numbers of intolerant and/or outright racist supporters and rightly received outsized and negative reportage in the UK media.
Nobody needs those kinds of supporters in the 21st-century. The world has moved past intolerance, and Nigel Farage has reacted appropriately in this matter.
Now, Mr. Farage has launched The Brexit Party with the objective of fielding the sort of candidates that represent their constituents well and keep their election promises as much as humanly possible — instead of the typical promise, promise, promise, and never deliver style of politics we’ve become accustomed to in this decade.
Give Nigel’s introductory video a view below. Cheers all!